Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Super Nova vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Jana Skredela stadions, Riga
Super Nova Logo

Super Nova

0 - 1
FT
RFS Logo

RFS

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Korac D.
34'
Emsis E.
46'
Sub
Sylla M. In: Balde A.
Out: Sylla M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Super Nova
15%
Draws
46%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Super Nova on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • RFS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor RFS, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RFS here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 16%
RFS Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova RFS
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 23
Draws 4 3
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.1 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Latvian Cup
Super Nova vs RFS
0:1
May 29, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Super Nova
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
RFS vs Super Nova
5:2
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.41

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Korac D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 36 / 100
RFS 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Super Nova scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

RFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Super Nova stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS RFS
1.14 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1
RFS
09 Aug
Super Nova
1 : 2
FK Liepaja
20 Jul
Super Nova
2 : 0
Grobina
11 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
06 Jul
Super Nova
1 : 2
Ogre United
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
16 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 1
RFS
13 Aug
RFS
1 : 2
Jablonec
10 Aug
RFS
6 : 1
Grobina
06 Aug
Jablonec
2 : 0
RFS
30 Jul
Vestri
1 : 1
RFS
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Auda Riga -
RFS -
Riga FC -
Final
TBD -
TBD -