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Super Nova vs RFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Jana Skredela stadions, Riga
Super Nova Logo

Super Nova

0 - 1
FT
RFS Logo

RFS

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Korac D.
34'
Emsis E.
46'
Sub
Sylla M. In: Balde A.
Out: Sylla M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Super Nova
15%
Draws
67%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RFS come out ahead of Super Nova on wins alone.
  • Model gives RFS a 67% chance of winning this.
  • RFS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor RFS, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RFS here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 12%
RFS Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova RFS
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 22
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.97 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
0:3
Oct 15, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Super Nova
4:0
Aug 16, 2026 Latvian Cup
Super Nova vs RFS
0:1
May 29, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Super Nova
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Korac D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 10 / 100
RFS 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

RFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Super Nova stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS RFS
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
01 Nov
FK Liepaja
3 : 3
Super Nova
25 Oct
Super Nova
0 : 3
RFS
18 Oct
Riga FC
2 : 1
Super Nova
15 Oct
RFS
4 : 0
Super Nova
10 Oct
Super Nova
2 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
01 Nov
RFS
3 : 0
Grobina
25 Oct
Super Nova
0 : 3
RFS
19 Oct
RFS
2 : 0
Tukums 2000
15 Oct
RFS
4 : 0
Super Nova
11 Oct
RFS
4 : 2
Jelgava
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -