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Super Nova vs RFS Prediction & H2H Stats

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Jana Skredela stadions, Riga
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Super Nova host RFS in the Virsliga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Super Nova have averaged 0.97 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against RFS's 2.28 scored and 0.81 conceded. Head-to-head, Super Nova have won 0 to RFS's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.44) point toward RFS. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Super Nova
30%
Draws
37%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • RFS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and RFS have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 16%
RFS Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova RFS
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 23
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.97 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Latvian Cup
Super Nova vs RFS
0:1
May 29, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Super Nova
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
RFS vs Super Nova
5:2
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 36 / 100
RFS 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Super Nova's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Super Nova remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

RFS has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS RFS
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
25% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
RFS
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2
RFS
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)