Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Super Nova vs Riga FC

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Jana Skredela stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Iida R.
35'
Emsis E.
49'
Tonisevs M.

AI Match Summary

Riga FC in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Riga FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Super Nova
30%
Draws
43%
Riga FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Riga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Super Nova haven't matched Riga FC's recent run of results.
  • Super Nova are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Riga FC here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 15%
Riga FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova Riga FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 22
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 0.97 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Riga FC
0:1
May 24, 2026 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Super Nova
3:0
Apr 14, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Riga FC
1:4
Aug 30, 2025 Virsliga
Super Nova vs Riga FC
2:6
Jun 22, 2025 Virsliga
Riga FC vs Super Nova
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Riga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Badamosi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 41 / 100
Riga FC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova Riga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Super Nova's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Riga FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Super Nova has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS Riga FC
0.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
Page 1 of 6

Riga FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Riga FC
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2
FK Auda Riga
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
03 Sept
RFS
2 : 3
Riga FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)