Sport Picks
Super Nova vs Riga FC
Latvia
Virsliga Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 
AI Match Summary
Super Nova host Riga FC in the Virsliga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Riga FC have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Super Nova have conceded 1.63 and scored 0.88. Head-to-head, Super Nova have won 0 to Riga FC's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.94) back Riga FC to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Super Nova haven't matched Riga FC's recent run of results.
- Riga FC are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Riga FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 22 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Super Nova's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Riga FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
Super Nova has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Super Nova
(Home)Riga FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 68:20 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 56 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 40 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | 28 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | 27 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | 24 |
| 8 | Grobina | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | 20 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38:47 | 17 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | 13 |