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Super Nova vs SK Babite

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2018
Super Nova Logo

Super Nova

2 - 1
FT
SK Babite Logo

SK Babite

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Hvoinickis D.
39' Event
Strautins E.
67' Event
Sakhnyuk V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Super Nova advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Super Nova
20%
Draws
34%
SK Babite
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Super Nova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Super Nova are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Super Nova have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Super Nova, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 16%
SK Babite Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova SK Babite
Matches Played 36 16
Wins 15 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2018 Latvian Cup
Super Nova vs SK Babite
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova Compare

Top Goalscorer Hvoinickis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strautins E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

SK Babite Compare

Top Goalscorer Sakhnyuk V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 39 / 100
SK Babite 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova SK Babite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Super Nova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SK Babite let in goals in 80% of their last 15 matches.

Super Nova scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Super Nova went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 8

SK Babite

(Away)
18 May
Riga United
6 : 0
SK Babite
17 Jul
Alberts JDFS
1 : 0
SK Babite
27 Jun
SK Babite
3 : 0
Dobele Allegro
16 Jun
Super Nova
2 : 1
SK Babite
29 May
AFA Olaine
1 : 5
SK Babite
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina -
TBD -
SK Cesis 1
Albatroz 4
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors -
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
Lielupe 2
Nikers 5
Monarhs -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Salacgriva -
Aliance -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghetto / Gvatar -
Super Nova -
TBD -
AFA Olaine 1
SK Babite 5
Balvu SC -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Plavinas -
Salaspils FK 9
Valka 0
KF Grobina 0
BetLanes 14
RTU -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Kauguri-PBLC 4
Bauskas / Memele 0
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri -
TBD -
Lubana 2
Upesciems 5
FK Karosta 9
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
TBD -
Preilu BJSS -
FK Limbazi -
TBD -
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/32-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
Albatroz 1
FK Alberts 1
DSVK Traktors 2
Alberts JDFS 3
Nikers 1
Monarhs 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga United 10
FK Salacgriva 0
Aliance 0
Ghetto / Gvatar 5
Super Nova 2
SK Babite 1
Balvu SC 1
FK Smiltene 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 9
Plavinas 1
Salaspils FK 0
BetLanes 7
RTU 2
Rezekne 0
Kauguri-PBLC 3
Tukums 2000 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bebri 3
Upesciems 0
FK Karosta 1
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Limbazi 6
Priekuli 3
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 3
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
1/16-finals
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Grobina 7
DSVK Traktors 0
Alberts JDFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 5
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Riga United 1
Ghetto / Gvatar 9
Super Nova 2
FK Smiltene 0
TBD -
Riga FC -
Ventspils -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 0
BetLanes 2
RTU 5
Tukums 2000 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Valmiera -
TBD -
Bebri 0
Preilu BJSS 5
FK Limbazi 1
Ogres Novada Sporta Centrs 0
TBD -
RFS -
1/8-finals
FK Metta 2
Jelgava 1
Grobina 2
BFC Daugavpils 6
Spartaks Jurmala 8
Ghetto / Gvatar 1
Super Nova 0
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
BetLanes 1
RTU 0
FK Liepaja 5
Valmiera 3
Preilu BJSS 0
FK Limbazi 0
RFS 15
Quarter-finals
FK Metta 4
BFC Daugavpils 3
Spartaks Jurmala 1
Riga FC 3
Ventspils 1
FK Liepaja 0
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Semi-finals
FK Metta 1
Riga FC 2
Ventspils 2
RFS 1
Final
Riga FC 1
Ventspils 0