Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Super Nova host Tukums 2000 in the Virsliga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Super Nova have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.45 conceded recently, against Tukums 2000's 1.55 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Super Nova have won 3 to Tukums 2000's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.38, favoring Super Nova. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Super Nova carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Super Nova taking it.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Super Nova | Tukums 2000 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tukums 2000 let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.
Super Nova found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Difficult form: Tukums 2000 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Super Nova
(Home)Tukums 2000
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 62:17 | 65 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 64 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 46 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | 34 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | 27 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | 25 |
| 8 | Grobina | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:47 | 21 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | 20 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | 14 |