Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Super Nova vs Valmiera 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga 2024 Slokas Stadions, Jūrmala
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Nakamura R.
16'
Omori Y.
23' Event
Diallo B.
Assist: Skadmanis K.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2024 game between Super Nova and Valmiera 2 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Super Nova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Super Nova
30%
Draws
29%
Valmiera 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Super Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Super Nova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Super Nova taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 16%
Valmiera 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova Valmiera 2
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 1. Liga
Super Nova vs Valmiera 2
4:1
Jun 16, 2024 1. Liga
Valmiera 2 vs Super Nova
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skadmanis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Valmiera 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulis I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 36 / 100
Valmiera 2 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova Valmiera 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Super Nova scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Valmiera 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Super Nova has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
15 Sept
Super Nova
0 : 1
Riga FC
10 Sept
Super Nova
1 : 0
Tukums 2000
05 Sept
Jelgava
0 : 1
Super Nova
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
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Valmiera 2

(Away)
10 Nov
Valmiera 2
0 : 0
Leevon PPK
02 Nov
Valmiera 2
2 : 0
Alberts JDFS
27 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 3
Skanste
18 Oct
Valmiera 2
2 : 2
Riga FC 2
05 Oct
Super Nova
4 : 1
Valmiera 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Super Nova 26 21 2 3 65:11 65
2 RFS 2 26 20 3 3 71:18 63
3 Alberts JDFS 26 19 1 6 53:21 58
4 Riga FC 2 26 13 9 4 59:26 48
5 Skanste 26 12 5 9 39:28 41
6 Valmiera 2 26 10 4 12 41:39 34
7 Marupe 26 9 6 11 25:44 33
8 Leevon PPK 26 9 4 13 36:38 31
9 AFA Olaine 26 8 6 12 45:50 30
10 JFK Ventspils 26 8 6 12 32:37 30
11 Ogre United 26 7 8 11 37:44 29
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 5 4 17 25:68 19
13 FK Smiltene 26 4 5 17 24:62 17
14 Rezekne 26 3 5 18 18:84 14
Promotion - Virsliga 2025 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Liga 2024 (Promotion)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2024 (Relegation)