Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Supersport Utd vs Orlando Pirates

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup 2024/2025 Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium
Sat, Mar 8, 2025
2 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Supersport Utd play Orlando Pirates in the Nedbank Cup 2024/2025. Orlando Pirates are favorites here. Recently, Supersport Utd averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. Orlando Pirates averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.47 conceded. In past meetings, Supersport Utd won 0, Orlando Pirates won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Supersport Utd and 1.61 for Orlando Pirates. This points to a Orlando Pirates double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Supersport Utd
23%
Draws
56%
Orlando Pirates
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Orlando Pirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Supersport Utd picked up more points recently compared to Orlando Pirates.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Supersport Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supersport Utd Orlando Pirates
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 24
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 0.79 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.47

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2025 Betway Premiership
Supersport Utd vs Orlando Pirates
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Nedbank Cup
Supersport Utd vs Orlando Pirates
2:3
Oct 22, 2024 Betway Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs Supersport Utd
2:0
Aug 3, 2024 MTN 8 Cup
Orlando Pirates vs Supersport Utd
3:1
May 25, 2024 Betway Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs Supersport Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supersport Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzvukamanja T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moralo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Orlando Pirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbokazi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makgopa E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supersport Utd 22 / 100
Orlando Pirates 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supersport Utd Orlando Pirates

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Orlando Pirates Win (2)
Secondary Pick Orlando Pirates & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Supersport Utd attacking → ← attacking Orlando Pirates

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supersport Utd scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Orlando Pirates let in goals in 38% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Supersport Utd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Orlando Pirates lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 78
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63