Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa

Canada Canada

Championship CEPSUM Stadium, Montreal, QC
Supra du Quebec Logo

Supra du Quebec

3 - 1
FT
Atletico Ottawa Logo

Atletico Ottawa

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Choiniere D.
Assist: Kwemi L. A.
46'
Sub
Mbomio R. In: Assi J.
Out: Mbomio R.
50' Event
Rea S.
Assist: Sissoko A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Supra du Quebec advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Supra du Quebec
28%
Draws
22%
Atletico Ottawa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Supra du Quebec a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Atletico Ottawa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Ottawa, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico Ottawa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supra du Quebec Atletico Ottawa
Matches Played 15 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Championship
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jun 9, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
5:3
Apr 19, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Choiniere D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rea S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Timoteo W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supra du Quebec 47 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supra du Quebec Atletico Ottawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supra du Quebec scored in 80% of their last 15 games.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Atletico Ottawa has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Supra du Quebec has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Supra du Quebec VS Atletico Ottawa
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Supra du Quebec

(Home)
29 Jul
Cavalry
2 : 1
Supra du Quebec
24 Jul
HFX Wanderers
2 : 3
Supra du Quebec
17 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 5
Vancouver FC
08 Jul
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
05 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2
Forge FC
Page 1 of 3

Atletico Ottawa

(Away)
26 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Pacific FC
17 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
08 Jul
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
04 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 3
Cavalry
01 Jul
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-