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Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League CEPSUM Stadium, Montreal, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Chretien M.
53'
Sub
Assi J. In: Dunn J.
Out: Assi J.
60'
Sub
El Kalkouli O. In: Conde I.
Out: El Kalkouli O.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Supra du Quebec and Atletico Ottawa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Ottawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Supra du Quebec
20%
Draws
33%
Atletico Ottawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Supra du Quebec haven't matched Atletico Ottawa's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Supra du Quebec taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 18%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supra du Quebec Atletico Ottawa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
0:2
Aug 16, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
1:2
Aug 11, 2026 Championship
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
3:3
Jul 8, 2026 Championship
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jun 9, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Mlah S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fleuriau Chateau N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khoury R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supra du Quebec 67 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supra du Quebec Atletico Ottawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Supra du Quebec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supra du Quebec scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Ottawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Supra du Quebec has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Supra du Quebec VS Atletico Ottawa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Supra du Quebec

(Home)
10 Oct
Supra du Quebec
2 : 2
Vancouver FC
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
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Atletico Ottawa

(Away)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 25 9 4 12 38:45 31
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)