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Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League CEPSUM Stadium, Montreal, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Conde I.
Assist: Abzi D.
42'
Conde I.
46'
Sub
Bayiha C. In: El Kalkouli O.
Out: Bayiha C.

AI Match Summary

Supra du Quebec in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Supra du Quebec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Supra du Quebec
20%
Draws
29%
Pacific FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Pacific FC haven't matched Supra du Quebec's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Supra du Quebec a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Supra du Quebec have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 15%
Pacific FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supra du Quebec Pacific FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 2
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.6 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC
5:0
Aug 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec
1:2
Jun 6, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Pacific FC vs Supra du Quebec
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Conde I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kwemi L. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pacific FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supra du Quebec 75 / 100
Pacific FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supra du Quebec Pacific FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Supra du Quebec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supra du Quebec's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pacific FC has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Supra du Quebec stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Supra du Quebec VS Pacific FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Supra du Quebec

(Home)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

Pacific FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
09 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 3
Pacific FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 26 9 7 10 37:35 34
5 Supra du Quebec 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)