Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Nacional B 2023 game between Sur-Car and Fatic finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fatic.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fatic
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Fatic come out ahead of Sur-Car on wins alone.
- Model gives Fatic a 58% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Fatic have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sur-Car Clean Sheet 20%
Fatic Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sur-Car | Fatic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 22, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs Fatic
1:4
Oct 1, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Sur-Car
2:0
Oct 13, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs Fatic
3:0
Sep 15, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fatic vs Sur-Car
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sur-Car 10 / 100
Fatic 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sur-Car Fatic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fatic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Sur-Car's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Fatic let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Sur-Car went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sur-Car VS Fatic
1.67 Goals Scored 1.63
4 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sur-Car
(Home) 28 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
7 : 3 Sur-Car
22 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 4 Fatic
08 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 1 Municipal de Tarija
01 Oct
Fatic
2 : 0 Sur-Car
08 Jul
GV San Jose
1 : 1 Sur-Car
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 4 Fatic
08 Oct
Sur-Car
1 : 1 Municipal de Tarija
01 Jul
Sur-Car
1 : 0 Em Huanuni
18 Jun
Sur-Car
2 : 3 CM Poopo
10 Jun
Sur-Car
0 : 4 GV San Jose
Page 1 of 4
Fatic
(Away) 19 Sept
Fatic
3 : 1 Atletico Sucre
12 Sept
Fatic
6 : 0 Libertad FC
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1 Fatic
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1 Fatic
21 Aug
Fatic
2 : 2 Em Huanuni
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Atletico Sucre
2 : 1 Fatic
30 Aug
Libertad FC
0 : 1 Fatic
02 Nov
Universitario de Sucre
2 : 2 Fatic
15 Sept
Real Potosi
1 : 0 Fatic
08 Sept
Universitario de Tarija
1 : 0 Fatic
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Potosi | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Nacional Sucre | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Hiska Nacional | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Mizque | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 2 | Universitario de Pando | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 3 | Stormers SL | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GV San Jose | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Real Oruro | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Municipalidad de Yacuiba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 1 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torre Fuerte | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Pasion Celeste | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 3 | Fancesa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Atletico Bermejo | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 3 | San Lorenzo del Beni | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:25 | 0 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Municipal de Tarija | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Fatic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Sur-Car | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 de Septiembre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 2 | Universitario Beni | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 3 | Real Mapajo | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportivo Aleman | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 5 |
| 3 | Academia del Balompie | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | 1 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)
