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Sur Club vs Al Samail - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Oman Oman

FA Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Al Muhairi M.
50' Event
Al Mushaifri A.
53' Event
Al Mujaini M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Sur Club
35%
Draws
26%
Al Samail
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sur Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Al Samail haven't matched Sur Club's recent run of results.
  • Sur Club are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Sur Club have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sur Club, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sur Club Clean Sheet 68%
Al Samail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sur Club Al Samail
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FA Cup
Sur Club vs Al Samail
3:1
Mar 6, 2026 Professional League
Al Samail vs Sur Club
0:0
Nov 21, 2025 FA Cup
Sur Club vs Al Samail
2:0
Sep 25, 2025 Professional League
Sur Club vs Al Samail
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sur Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mushaifri A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Mujaini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Samail Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Muhairi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sur Club 50 / 100
Al Samail 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sur Club Al Samail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sur Club Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Samail let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Sur Club found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Sur Club went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sur Club VS Al Samail
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sur Club

(Home)
10 Oct
Saham
1 : 0
Sur Club
24 Sept
Oman Club
1 : 2
Sur Club
20 Sept
Sur Club
3 : 1
Al Samail
11 Sept
Sur Club
1 : 3
Bahla
06 Sept
Al Seeb
2 : 0
Sur Club
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Al Samail

(Away)
10 Oct
Dhofar
2 : 2
Al Samail
01 Oct
Al Nasr
3 : 3
Al Samail
25 Sept
Al Samail
5 : 5
Dhofar
20 Sept
Sur Club
3 : 1
Al Samail
10 Sept
Al Samail
0 : 0
Fanja SC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahla 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
2 Oman Club 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Dhofar 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
4 Sur Club 4 2 1 1 7:9 7
5 Fanja SC 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
6 Al Samail 4 0 2 2 9:13 2
7 Al Nasr 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Seeb 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
2 Al Nahda 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
3 Al Shabab 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
4 Sohar 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
5 Saham 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
6 Al Msnaa 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
7 Ibri 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
Promotion - FA Cup (Play Offs)