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Suriname vs Canada

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 Franklin Essed Stadion, Paramaribo
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Pinas S.
37'
Abena M.
48'
Johnston A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Canada advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Suriname
30%
Draws
41%
Canada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Canada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Canada carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Suriname a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Canada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Canada, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Canada have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Suriname Clean Sheet 20%
Canada Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suriname Canada
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Canada vs Suriname
3:0
Nov 15, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Suriname vs Canada
0:1
Jun 9, 2021 World Championship
Canada vs Suriname
4:0
Oct 11, 1977 World Championship
Canada vs Suriname
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suriname Compare

Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49

Canada Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoilett J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suriname 36 / 100
Canada 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suriname Canada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suriname's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Recent resilience: Suriname stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Canada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Suriname VS Canada
1.6 Goals Scored 0.75
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 25%
60% Over 2.5 13%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Suriname

(Home)
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
13 Nov
Suriname
4 : 0
El Salvador
15 Oct
Panama
1 : 1
Suriname
10 Oct
Suriname
1 : 1
Guatemala
Page 1 of 6

Canada

(Away)
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
28 Jun
South Africa
0 : 1
Canada
24 Jun
Switzerland
2 : 1
Canada
18 Jun
Canada
6 : 0
Qatar
12 Jun
Canada
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
USA 5
Jamaica 2
Panama 3
Costa Rica 2
Canada 4
Suriname 0
Mexico 4
Honduras 2
Semi-finals
USA 0
Panama 1
Canada 0
Mexico 2
Final
Panama 1
Mexico 2
USA 1
Canada 2