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Surnadal vs Kristiansund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Smevoll S.
17' Event
Nyland E.
19' Event
Opsahl H.

AI Match Summary

Surnadal host Kristiansund 2 in the Division 3 - Group 2 2025. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Surnadal have averaged 1.75 scored and 2.88 conceded recently, against Kristiansund 2's 0.63 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Kristiansund 2 slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2025, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.75) point toward Kristiansund 2. Kristiansund 2 in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Surnadal
20%
Draws
38%
Kristiansund 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Kristiansund 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Surnadal.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Surnadal.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 3 - Group 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 12%
Kristiansund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Surnadal Kristiansund 2
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 7 11
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Kristiansund 2
2:3
May 10, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Kristiansund 2 vs Surnadal
1:1
Oct 4, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Surnadal vs Kristiansund 2
3:5
Jun 17, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Kristiansund 2 vs Surnadal
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Smevoll S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kvande S. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kristiansund 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyland E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Opsahl H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Surnadal 40 / 100
Kristiansund 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Surnadal Kristiansund 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Kristiansund 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Surnadal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kristiansund 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Surnadal VS Kristiansund 2
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%