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Surnadal vs Rollon

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 8
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 8 game between Surnadal and Rollon finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rollon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Surnadal
30%
Draws
41%
Rollon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Rollon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rollon come out ahead of Surnadal on wins alone.
  • Surnadal are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 10%
Rollon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Surnadal Rollon
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 7 2
Losses 28 20
Goals Scored 1.18 1.47
Goals Conceded 3.34 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Surnadal vs Rollon
1:3
Apr 30, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Rollon vs Surnadal
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Surnadal 74 / 100
Rollon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Surnadal Rollon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Surnadal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rollon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Surnadal's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Surnadal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Surnadal VS Rollon
1.5 Goals Scored 0
3.5 Goals Conceded 7
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Surnadal

(Home)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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Rollon

(Away)
22 Aug
Rollon
0 : 7
Traeff
12 Apr
Rollon
0 : 3
Aalesund
22 Oct
Rollon
2 : 1
Sogndal 2
15 Oct
Rollon
5 : 0
Floro 2
08 Oct
Herd
2 : 2
Rollon
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