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Surnadal vs Spjelkavik

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Dubicki F.
66' Event
Viddal E.
76'
Ekornes S.

AI Match Summary

Spjelkavik in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spjelkavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Surnadal
30%
Draws
34%
Spjelkavik
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Surnadal haven't matched Spjelkavik's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Surnadal a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spjelkavik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 11%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Surnadal Spjelkavik
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Spjelkavik
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Surnadal
7:1
Oct 15, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Spjelkavik vs Surnadal
11:0
Jun 18, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Surnadal vs Spjelkavik
2:1
Aug 3, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Spjelkavik vs Surnadal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Talgo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubicki F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viddal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Surnadal 35 / 100
Spjelkavik 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Surnadal Spjelkavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Spjelkavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Surnadal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Surnadal VS Spjelkavik
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%