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Surnadal vs Spjelkavik

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Dubicki F.
66' Event
Viddal E.
76'
Ekornes S.

AI Match Summary

Spjelkavik in this Division 3 - Group 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spjelkavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Surnadal
20%
Draws
44%
Spjelkavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spjelkavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Surnadal haven't matched Spjelkavik's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Surnadal a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spjelkavik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 17%
Spjelkavik Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Surnadal Spjelkavik
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.36 2.07
Goals Conceded 3.36 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Spjelkavik
1:3
Mar 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Spjelkavik vs Surnadal
7:1
Oct 15, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Spjelkavik vs Surnadal
11:0
Jun 18, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Surnadal vs Spjelkavik
2:1
Aug 3, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Spjelkavik vs Surnadal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Talgo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Spjelkavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Dubicki F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Viddal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Surnadal 57 / 100
Spjelkavik 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Surnadal Spjelkavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Surnadal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Spjelkavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Surnadal stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spjelkavik
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Surnadal

(Home)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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Spjelkavik

(Away)
26 Sept
Melhus
0 : 1
Spjelkavik
21 Sept
Spjelkavik
0 : 4
Rosenborg 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
05 Sept
Nardo
4 : 2
Spjelkavik
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
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