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Surnadal vs Trygg/Lade

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Gjul V.
78' Event
Storseth S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2025 game between Surnadal and Trygg/Lade finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Surnadal
30%
Draws
12%
Trygg/Lade
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Surnadal haven't matched Trygg/Lade's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Surnadal taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Trygg/Lade have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 20%
Trygg/Lade Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Surnadal Trygg/Lade
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.36 1.53
Goals Conceded 3.36 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Trygg/Lade
1:1
Apr 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Trygg/Lade vs Surnadal
7:0
Aug 17, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Surnadal vs Trygg/Lade
2:5
Apr 6, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Trygg/Lade vs Surnadal
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Gjul V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Trygg/Lade Compare

Top Goalscorer Storseth S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Surnadal 85 / 100
Trygg/Lade 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Surnadal Trygg/Lade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Surnadal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Surnadal scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Trygg/Lade has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Surnadal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trygg/Lade
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Surnadal

(Home)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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Trygg/Lade

(Away)
20 Sept
Trygg/Lade
0 : 1
Levanger
16 Sept
Trygg/Lade
0 : 5
Molde
13 Sept
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
3 : 1
Trygg/Lade
06 Sept
Trygg/Lade
2 : 3
Honefoss
30 Aug
Trygg/Lade
1 : 1
Skeid
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