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Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland
Sutherland Sharks Logo

Sutherland Sharks

Wed, Sep 2, 2026
1 - 2
09:30 AM
Manly Utd Logo

Manly Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Kimura A.
90' Event
Maia T.
1' Event
Olsen N.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sutherland Sharks
15%
Draws
64%
Manly Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manly Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sutherland Sharks lately — more wins on the board than Manly Utd.
  • Model gives Manly Utd a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Sutherland Sharks have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Manly Utd, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 14%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutherland Sharks Manly Utd
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd
1:2
Jul 11, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd
3:0
May 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Manly Utd
0:1
Feb 14, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sutherland Sharks
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Maia T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Manly Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Kimura A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutherland Sharks 27 / 100
Manly Utd 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutherland Sharks Manly Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manly Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutherland Sharks scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Manly Utd let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sutherland Sharks went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutherland Sharks VS Manly Utd
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutherland Sharks

(Home)
31 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
24 Oct
Canberra Croatia
0 : 2
Sutherland Sharks
17 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
0 : 1
South Melbourne
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
Page 1 of 7

Manly Utd

(Away)
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1
Manly Utd
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4
Manly Utd
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4
NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
APIA Leichhardt -
TBD -
Marconi Stallions 1
NWS Spirit 3
Sydney Utd -
TBD -
Sutherland Sharks 1
Manly Utd 2
Semi-finals
APIA Leichhardt 3
NWS Spirit 0
Sydney Utd 3
Manly Utd 1
Final
APIA Leichhardt 1
Sydney Utd 3