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Sutherland Sharks vs Parramatta Eagles

Australia Australia

NPL NSW 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kajiyama T.
34' Event
Cox J.
87' Event
Cerasoli G.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW 2017 game between Sutherland Sharks and Parramatta Eagles finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutherland Sharks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sutherland Sharks
20%
Draws
40%
Parramatta Eagles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sutherland Sharks come out ahead of Parramatta Eagles on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL NSW 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 13%
Parramatta Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutherland Sharks Parramatta Eagles
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.56 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2017 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Sutherland Sharks
0:0
May 13, 2017 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Parramatta Eagles
3:1
Jun 26, 2016 NPL NSW
Parramatta Eagles vs Sutherland Sharks
3:1
Apr 9, 2016 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Parramatta Eagles
2:0
Jun 20, 2015 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Parramatta Eagles
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Kajiyama T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cox J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Parramatta Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerasoli G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutherland Sharks 30 / 100
Parramatta Eagles 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutherland Sharks Parramatta Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutherland Sharks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutherland Sharks found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Parramatta Eagles let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Parramatta Eagles's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutherland Sharks VS Parramatta Eagles
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutherland Sharks

(Home)
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 7

Parramatta Eagles

(Away)
11 Sept
Prospect United
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
04 Sept
Parramatta Eagles
4 : 1
Prospect United
14 Feb
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 1
Parramatta Eagles
13 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 2
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
05 Aug
Parramatta Eagles
0 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 22 16 1 5 50:18 49
2 Blacktown City 22 14 5 3 45:22 47
3 Manly Utd 22 13 3 6 47:36 42
4 Rockdale Ilinden 22 12 6 4 42:28 42
5 Sydney Olympic 22 12 4 6 35:23 40
6 Wollongong 22 12 1 9 35:28 37
7 Sydney Utd 22 10 4 8 42:27 34
8 Hakoah Sydney 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Bonnyrigg White Eagles 22 5 4 13 31:50 19
10 Sutherland Sharks 22 5 1 16 29:55 16
11 Sydney FC U21 22 6 2 14 34:52 14
12 Parramatta Eagles 22 1 3 18 16:60 6
Promotion - Northern NSW 2017 (Final Stage)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW 2017 (Play Offs)