Sport Picks
Sutherland Sharks vs St. George City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland 
Match Events
29'
29'
Nicolaou Y.
43'
43'
Bonilla D.
82'
82'
Mitry P.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Sutherland Sharks and St. George City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutherland Sharks.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. George City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sutherland Sharks come out ahead of St. George City on wins alone.
- 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- St. George City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 21%
St. George City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | St. George City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs St. George City
2:1
May 9, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sutherland Sharks
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sutherland Sharks
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs St. George City
0:3
Aug 17, 2024 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs St. George City
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutherland Sharks Compare
Top Goalscorer Nicolaou Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bonilla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
St. George City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mitry P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutherland Sharks 32 / 100
St. George City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutherland Sharks St. George City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. George City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutherland Sharks scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
St. George City let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Sutherland Sharks has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sutherland Sharks VS St. George City
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutherland Sharks
(Home) 31 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
24 Oct
Canberra Croatia
0 : 2 Sutherland Sharks
17 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
0 : 1 South Melbourne
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
17 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
0 : 1 South Melbourne
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
Page 1 of 4
St. George City
(Away) 30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0 St. George City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
