Sport Picks

Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Gradski

Sutjeska

4 - 1

Arsenal Tivat

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Mrvaljevic M.

35'

Simun M.

41'

Petovic G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 game between Sutjeska and Arsenal Tivat finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutjeska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Sutjeska

17%

Draws

13%

Arsenal Tivat

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sutjeska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sutjeska come out ahead of Arsenal Tivat on wins alone.
Model gives Sutjeska a 70% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Sutjeska Clean Sheet 68%

Arsenal Tivat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sutjeska	Arsenal Tivat
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	10
Draws	7	5
Losses	8	15
Goals Scored	1.13	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga

Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Mar 11, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga

Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat

Possession: 42% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

4:1

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly

Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat

Possession: 53% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

3:0

Nov 9, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga

Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 4 - 0

0:0

Sep 13, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga

Sutjeska vs Arsenal Tivat

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrvaljevic M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Simun M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Arsenal Tivat Compare

Top Goalscorer Malisic P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 77 / 100

Arsenal Tivat 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sutjeska Arsenal Tivat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sutjeska scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Arsenal Tivat conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Arsenal Tivat has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Arsenal Tivat

1.13 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1.75

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sutjeska	36	22	6	8	61:36	72
2	Mornar Bar	36	20	9	7	51:29	69
3	Petrovac	36	13	12	11	44:36	51
4	Decic	36	14	9	13	43:45	51
5	Buducnost	36	13	9	14	36:35	48
6	Mladost DG	36	14	4	18	49:54	46
7	Arsenal Tivat	36	12	10	14	36:46	46
8	Jezero	36	10	11	15	38:48	41
9	Bokelj	36	8	12	16	38:48	36
10	Jedinstvo	36	9	8	19	30:49	35