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Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadion Gradski, Nikšić
Sutjeska Logo

Sutjeska

0 - 2
FT
Kairat Almaty Logo

Kairat Almaty

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Simun M.
29'
Golubovic A.
46'
Sub
Anicic P. In: Campbell K.
Out: Anicic P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Sutjeska
20%
Draws
36%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sutjeska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty have won more games recently than Sutjeska.
  • Win probability leans Sutjeska's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Kairat Almaty arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kairat Almaty, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 68%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Champions League
Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty
0:2
Jul 8, 2026 Champions League
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekbolat I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 77 / 100
Kairat Almaty 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Kairat Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutjeska Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Sutjeska remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sutjeska found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Kairat Almaty let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Kairat Almaty
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutjeska

(Home)
10 Oct
Buducnost
0 : 0
Sutjeska
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
Page 1 of 6

Kairat Almaty

(Away)
10 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
17 Sept
FC Astana
1 : 0
Kairat Almaty
13 Sept
Kairat Almaty
1 : 4
Tobol
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
0 : 3
Kairat Almaty
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6