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Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadion Gradski
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Simun M.
29'
Golubovic A.
46'
Sub
Anicic P. In: Campbell K.
Out: Anicic P.

AI Match Summary

Kairat Almaty in this Champions League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kairat Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sutjeska
6%
Draws
90%
Kairat Almaty
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kairat Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kairat Almaty have won more games recently than Sutjeska.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 12%
Kairat Almaty Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Kairat Almaty
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.88 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Champions League
Sutjeska vs Kairat Almaty
0:2
Jul 8, 2026 Champions League
Kairat Almaty vs Sutjeska
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kairat Almaty Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekbolat I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 10 / 100
Kairat Almaty 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Kairat Almaty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:7
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutjeska found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Kairat Almaty let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Kairat Almaty
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
TBD-
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Quarter-finals
Mjallby-
Lincoln Red Imps-
Larne-
Crvena zvezda-
Sabah Baku-
KuPS-
Klaksvik-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
Ararat-Armenia-
Shamrock Rovers-
Levski Sofia-
Univ. Craiova-
Omonia-
Kairat Almaty-
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
H. Beer Sheva-
Iberia 1999-
Slovan Bratislava-
KF Egnatia-
Celje-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
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TBD-
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Semi-finals
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Final
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