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Sutjeska vs Mladost DG

Montenegro Montenegro

Prva Crnogorska Liga Stadion Gradski, Nikšić
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Toskovic B.
32'
Djinovic O.
35'
Sub
Cordoba N. In: Jovanovic A.
Out: Cordoba N.

AI Match Summary

Sutjeska in this Prva Crnogorska Liga matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutjeska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sutjeska
15%
Draws
27%
Mladost DG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutjeska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Mladost DG haven't matched Sutjeska's recent run of results.
  • Sutjeska are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sutjeska here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sutjeska Clean Sheet 18%
Mladost DG Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutjeska Mladost DG
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Mladost DG
5:1
May 20, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Sutjeska vs Mladost DG
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Sutjeska vs Mladost DG
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Prva Crnogorska Liga
Mladost DG vs Sutjeska
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutjeska Compare

Top Goalscorer Toskovic B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Cavor V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mladost DG Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugosa D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutjeska 67 / 100
Mladost DG 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutjeska Mladost DG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutjeska Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutjeska went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sutjeska scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Mladost DG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sutjeska VS Mladost DG
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutjeska

(Home)
19 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 2
Sutjeska
13 Sept
Sutjeska
2 : 0
Decic
08 Sept
Sutjeska
1 : 0
Mornar Bar
04 Sept
Petrovac
0 : 0
Sutjeska
28 Aug
Sutjeska
5 : 1
Mladost DG
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Mladost DG

(Away)
20 Sept
Bokelj
3 : 0
Mladost DG
14 Sept
Mladost DG
0 : 2
Buducnost
10 Sept
Arsenal Tivat
0 : 1
Mladost DG
05 Sept
Mladost DG
2 : 0
Decic
28 Aug
Sutjeska
5 : 1
Mladost DG
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 9 5 1 3 15:10 16
2 Decic 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
3 Bokelj 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
4 Buducnost 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
5 Sutjeska 9 4 2 3 11:7 14
6 Mornar Bar 9 3 4 2 9:7 13
7 Mladost DG 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
8 Jezero 9 2 3 4 9:15 9
9 Petrovac 9 1 5 3 7:9 8
10 Arsenal Tivat 9 1 4 4 5:11 7
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Druga Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2027/2028 (Main)