Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutton Coldfield Town vs Dereham

England England

FA Trophy 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Dereham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Sutton Coldfield Town
15%
Draws
28%
Dereham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton Coldfield Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sutton Coldfield Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Sutton Coldfield Town taking it.
  • Sutton Coldfield Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dereham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sutton Coldfield Town Clean Sheet 17%
Dereham Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Coldfield Town Dereham
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.17 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2020 FA Trophy
Sutton Coldfield Town vs Dereham
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton Coldfield Town 66 / 100
Dereham 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Coldfield Town Dereham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutton Coldfield Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dereham has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Dereham's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sutton Coldfield Town scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutton Coldfield Town VS Dereham
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
100% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton Coldfield Town

(Home)
29 Aug
Worcester Raiders
1 : 2
Sutton Coldfield Town
07 Jul
Sutton Coldfield Town
1 : 3
Leamington
27 Sept
Sutton Coldfield Town
0 : 1
Stamford
20 Sept
Corby
3 : 0
Sutton Coldfield Town
13 Sept
Sutton Coldfield Town
3 : 1
Stourbridge
Page 1 of 6

Dereham

(Away)
02 Sept
Ware
3 : 2
Dereham
24 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Spalding United
13 Sept
Kempston
0 : 1
Dereham
03 Sept
Dereham
0 : 1
Biggleswade Town
01 Jul
Dereham
0 : 4
Norwich
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
United of Manchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stocksbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Marske United -
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
Cleethorpes -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Kendal -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighouse Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
Ashton United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunston -
TBD -
TBD -
Clitheroe -
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion -
Pickering Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trafford -
Sheffield FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Runcorn Linnets -
Tadcaster Albion 1
Marine 3
TBD -
Mossley AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Droylsden -
TBD -
TBD -
Glossop North End -
Pontefract Collieries -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington -
South Shields -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Widnes FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Colne -
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Newcastle Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Belper Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Evesham 2
Biggleswade FC 1
TBD -
Carlton Town -
Histon -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantwich -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleshill Town -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
Kempston -
Yaxley -
TBD -
TBD -
Chasetown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grantham Town -
Loughborough Dynamo -
TBD -
Market Drayton 0
Bury Town 1
Spalding United -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedford -
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Mickleover -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Dereham -
Coalville Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln Utd. -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Soham 0
Corby 3
TBD -
Halesowen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford -
Bedworth United -
TBD -
TBD -
Neots -
Worksop -
TBD -
Ossett United 0
Ramsbottom Utd 2
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Daventry -
TBD -
Cambridge City 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
TBD -
Grays -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Hastings -
TBD -
TBD -
Romania -
Hullbridge 0
Ashford Town 1
TBD -
Whitstable Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
TBD -
Ware -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Phoenix Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Marlow -
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town -
Needham Market -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chipstead -
TBD -
South Park 0
Three Bridges 1
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hythe 3
Chalfont St Peter 0
TBD -
Ashford United -
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Faversham -
TBD -
TBD -
Hertford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Merstham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Bedfont Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Coggeshall Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Kings Langley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brightlingsea -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Northwood 2
Basildon 1
TBD -
Heybridge -
FC Witham Town 0
Hanwell Town 2
TBD -
Aveley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Uxbridge -
TBD -
Waltham Abbey 3
Staines 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Sudbury 1
Barking 2
TBD -
Harlow -
Sittingbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
East Grinstead Town -
Stortford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentwood -
TBD -
TBD -
Chichester City -
Hitchin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
VCD Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Herne Bay -
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 1
Tooting & Mitcham 2
TBD -
Romford -
Whitehawk -
TBD -
TBD -
Barton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Aylesbury United -
TBD -
TBD -
Tilbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Margate -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haywards Heath -
TBD -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Great Wakering 1
TBD -
Westfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Bracknell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Sevenoaks -
Mangotsfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Cinderford Town -
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Moneyfields -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Kidlington -
TBD -
TBD -
Didcot -
Thame United -
TBD -
Cirencester 2
Paulton Rovers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Sholing -
TBD -
TBD -
Wantage -
Thatcham -
TBD -
Melksham 3
North Leigh 4
Hartley Wintney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larkhall -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnstaple Town -
Highworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bideford -
TBD -
TBD -
Slimbridge -
Willand Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Bristol Manor Farm -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Stocksbridge 0
Marske United 4
Atherton Collieries -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool -
Cleethorpes -
Hyde -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Frickley -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Kendal 1
Brighouse Town 0
TBD -
Buxton -
Ashton United -
TBD -
Dunston 0
Clitheroe 1
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
Witton Albion -
Pickering Town 1
Trafford 0
Sheffield FC 2
Runcorn Linnets 3
Marine 5
Mossley AFC 0
TBD -
Stalybridge -
Droylsden -
Glossop North End -
Pontefract Collieries 1
Workington 4
South Shields -
TBD -
Widnes FC 3
Colne 4
Morpeth -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Newcastle Town 3
Belper Town 2
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Evesham 2
Carlton Town 0
Histon 1
Leek Town 2
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantwich -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Bromsgrove -
TBD -
FC Wisbech Town 1
Coleshill Town 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
TBD -
Ilkeston 2
Kempston 1
Yaxley -
Chasetown -
TBD -
Grantham Town -
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Bury Town 0
Spalding United 0
Bedford 1
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Barwell -
Mickleover -
TBD -
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Dereham 3
Coalville Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
Stamford 2
Lincoln Utd. 1
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Corby 1
Halesowen 0
TBD -
Hednesford -
Bedworth United 1
Neots 4
Worksop 5
Ramsbottom Utd 4
St Ives Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
TBD -
Daventry 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Grays 1
TBD -
Kingstonian -
Hastings 3
Romania 0
Ashford Town 1
Whitstable Town 0
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Burgess Hill 2
Ware 0
TBD -
Harrow Borough -
Phoenix Sports 0
Marlow 2
Chertsey Town 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
Needham Market -
TBD -
Chipstead 1
Three Bridges 2
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Royston Town -
TBD -
Hythe 3
Ashford United 2
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Faversham 4
Hertford Town 1
TBD -
Haringey Borough -
Walton Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Merstham -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Bedfont Sports 0
Coggeshall Town 1
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Kings Langley -
TBD -
TBD -
Brightlingsea -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Biggleswade Town -
TBD -
Northwood 3
Heybridge 4
Hanwell Town 1
Aveley 2
TBD -
Beaconsfield Town -
Uxbridge 2
Waltham Abbey 1
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Enfield Town -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Canvey Island -
Barking 1
Harlow 0
Sittingbourne 1
East Grinstead Town 0
Stortford -
TBD -
Brentwood 3
Chichester City 2
Hitchin -
TBD -
VCD Athletic 1
Herne Bay 2
Bognor Regis -
TBD -
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Romford 0
Whitehawk 2
Barton 1
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Aylesbury United 3
Tilbury 2
TBD -
Margate -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Potters -
Chesham -
TBD -
Whyteleafe 1
Cray Valley 0
Horsham FC -
TBD -
Haywards Heath 1
Welwyn Garden 4
Felixstowe & Walton 5
Westfield 0
TBD -
Metropolitan Police -
Corinthian-Casuals -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
AFC Totton 2
Frome Town 3
TBD -
Farnborough -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Bracknell Town 2
Sevenoaks 0
Mangotsfield 1
Cinderford Town 2
Dorchester -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Moneyfields 2
Basingstoke 1
Kidlington 2
Didcot 1
Thame United 4
Cirencester 1
TBD -
Wimborne -
Salisbury -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiverton -
Sholing 0
Wantage 2
Thatcham 2
North Leigh 4
Hartley Wintney -
TBD -
TBD -
Poole Town -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Larkhall 5
Barnstaple Town 0
Highworth 2
Winchester City 1
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Yate -
TBD -
Bideford 3
Slimbridge 2
Willand Rovers 2
Bristol Manor Farm 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
United of Manchester 2
Marske United 3
Atherton Collieries 0
City Of Liverpool 3
Hyde 2
Frickley 1
Warrington Town 2
Lancaster 1
Brighouse Town 0
Buxton 2
Ashton United 1
Clitheroe 0
Radcliffe 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Witton Albion 3
Pickering Town 1
Runcorn Linnets 4
Marine 3
Stalybridge 2
Glossop North End 0
Workington 1
South Shields 1
Colne 0
Morpeth 3
Whitby 1
Newcastle Town 0
Nuneaton 2
Evesham 3
Leek Town 2
Redditch 2
Nantwich 3
Tamworth 2
Banbury 1
Bromsgrove 0
Coleshill Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Ilkeston 0
Yaxley 0
Grantham Town 2
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Bedford 3
Rushall 4
Barwell 1
Mickleover 5
Dereham 0
Coalville Town 3
Matlock 4
Peterborough Sports 4
Gainsborough 2
Stourbridge 0
Stamford 3
Basford Utd. 2
Alvechurch 1
Corby 1
Hednesford 2
Neots 6
Worksop 1
St Ives Town 2
Stafford 1
Stratford 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Kingstonian 2
Hastings 2
Ashford Town 1
Leiston 5
Worthing FC 4
Burgess Hill 4
Harrow Borough 1
Marlow 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Needham Market 4
Three Bridges 1
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Hornchurch 3
Royston Town 2
Hythe 0
East Thurrock Utd 3
Cheshunt 4
Faversham 1
Haringey Borough 2
Walton Casuals 2
Folkestone 1
Merstham 1
Carshalton 3
Coggeshall Town 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
Kings Langley 4
Brightlingsea 1
Lowestoft 3
Lewes 1
Biggleswade Town 1
Heybridge 0
Aveley 3
Beaconsfield Town 0
Uxbridge 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
Enfield Town 8
Ramsgate 1
Barking 2
Sittingbourne 1
Stortford 3
Brentwood 2
Hitchin 3
Herne Bay 1
Bognor Regis 2
Tooting & Mitcham 0
Whitehawk 0
Cray Wanderers 3
Aylesbury United 2
Margate 4
Leatherhead 3
Potters 1
Chesham 3
Whyteleafe 2
Horsham FC 1
Welwyn Garden 2
Felixstowe & Walton 3
Metropolitan Police 1
Corinthian-Casuals 5
Hendon 4
Frome Town 3
Farnborough 0
Taunton Town 2
Truro 4
Bracknell Town 3
Cinderford Town 0
Dorchester 2
Gosport Borough 1
Moneyfields 3
Kidlington 2
Thame United 3
Wimborne 0
Salisbury 6
Tiverton 0
Wantage 1
North Leigh 4
Hartley Wintney 1
Poole Town 4
Weston-super-Mare 2
Larkhall 1
Highworth 2
Swindon Supermarine 3
Yate -
Bideford -
Willand Rovers -
TBD -