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Sutton Common Rovers vs Merstham

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
12' Event
34' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Sutton Common Rovers and Merstham finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutton Common Rovers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sutton Common Rovers
6%
Draws
4%
Merstham
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sutton Common Rovers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sutton Common Rovers haven't matched Merstham's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sutton Common Rovers a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sutton Common Rovers Clean Sheet 12%
Merstham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Common Rovers Merstham
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 4 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.4 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 FA Trophy
Merstham vs Sutton Common Rovers
0:3
Jul 12, 2023 Club Friendly
Sutton Common Rovers vs Merstham
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton Common Rovers 83 / 100
Merstham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Common Rovers Merstham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton Common Rovers's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 15 recent games.

Merstham has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Sutton Common Rovers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutton Common Rovers VS Merstham
1.4 Goals Scored 1.88
1.6 Goals Conceded 2.5
80% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 100%
20% Over 3.5 63%