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Stadium Background

Sutton vs Aldershot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League VBS Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Carter C.
10'
Knight J.
11' Event
Ogbonna D.
Assist: Osadebe E.

AI Match Summary

Sutton in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sutton
15%
Draws
21%
Aldershot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Aldershot haven't matched Sutton's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Sutton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sutton Clean Sheet 19%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Aldershot
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Aldershot
2:0
Apr 3, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Sutton
2:2
Dec 26, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Aldershot
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Sutton
1:1
Jan 1, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Aldershot
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Carter C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ogbonna D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Aldershot Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 58 / 100
Aldershot 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Aldershot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sutton scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Aldershot's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sutton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Aldershot
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
07 Nov
Guiseley
1 : 0
Sutton
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0
Southampton U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3
Sutton
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

Aldershot

(Away)
07 Nov
Barnsley
7 : 2
Aldershot
03 Nov
Aldershot
0 : 5
Ipswich U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0
Gateshead
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Aldershot
0 : 1
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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