Sport Picks
Sutton vs Altrincham
England
National League 2025/2026 VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
16'
16'
Marriott I.
19'
19'
Francis J.
33'
33'
Golden T.
AI Match Summary
The National League 2025/2026 game between Sutton and Altrincham finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altrincham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altrincham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Altrincham come out ahead of Sutton on wins alone.
- Altrincham are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Altrincham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Altrincham
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Altrincham
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 National League
Altrincham vs Sutton
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 National League
Altrincham vs Sutton
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 National League
Sutton vs Altrincham
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutton Compare
Top Goalscorer Francis J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Altrincham Compare
Top Goalscorer Crankshaw O.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 28 / 100
Altrincham 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Altrincham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Altrincham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutton's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Altrincham has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Sutton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Altrincham
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1 Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2 Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Sutton
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2 Birmingham U21
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2 Wealdstone
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 4
Altrincham
(Away) 19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2 Altrincham
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1 Altrincham
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Eastleigh
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2 Altrincham
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2 Altrincham
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1 Altrincham
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2 Altrincham
22 Aug
Boston United
1 : 0 Altrincham
15 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Altrincham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | York City | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 108 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 106 |
| 3 | Carlisle | 46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 95 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 90 |
| 5 | Scunthorpe | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 82 |
| 6 | Southend | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 81 |
| 7 | Forest Green | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 81 |
| 8 | Halifax | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 70 |
| 9 | Hartlepool | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | 68 |
| 10 | Woking | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 63 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | 62 |
| 12 | Boston United | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | 59 |
| 13 | Altrincham | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | 57 |
| 14 | Solihull Moors | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | 56 |
| 15 | Wealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | 56 |
| 16 | Yeovil | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | 51 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | 50 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | 50 |
| 19 | Sutton | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | 47 |
| 20 | Aldershot | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | 46 |
| 21 | Brackley | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | 42 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | 38 |
| 23 | Braintree | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | 36 |
| 24 | Truro | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | 34 |
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
