Sport Picks
Sutton vs Birmingham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Cup VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
14'
14'
Ogbonna D.
Assist: Njoku B.
26'
26'
Sub
Ruiz R. In: Bello O.
Out: Ruiz R.
45'
45'
Ogbonna D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
77%
15%
8%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
77%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sutton lately — more wins on the board than Birmingham U21.
- 77% — that's where the model lands on Sutton taking it.
- Sutton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Birmingham U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%
Birmingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Birmingham U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 2.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.34 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 National League Cup
Sutton vs Birmingham U21
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutton Compare
Top Goalscorer Ogbonna D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.17
Birmingham U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Maddox C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 85 / 100
Birmingham U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Birmingham U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sutton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Birmingham U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.
Sutton's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Sutton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Birmingham U21
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.43
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 07 Nov
Guiseley
1 : 0 Sutton
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0 Southampton U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3 Sutton
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0 Aldershot
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Sutton
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0 Southampton U21
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0 Aldershot
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0 Truro
13 Oct
Sutton
3 : 2 West Brom U21
09 Oct
Sutton
0 : 2 Boreham Wood
Page 1 of 4
Birmingham U21
(Away) 06 Nov
Birmingham U21
2 : 2 West Ham U21
03 Nov
Woking
3 : 1 Birmingham U21
30 Oct
Birmingham U21
0 : 3 Swansea U21
23 Oct
Ipswich U21
5 : 0 Birmingham U21
19 Oct
Birmingham U21
0 : 4 Derby U21
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Woking
3 : 1 Birmingham U21
23 Oct
Ipswich U21
5 : 0 Birmingham U21
13 Oct
Truro
3 : 0 Birmingham U21
15 Sept
Gillingham U21
0 : 4 Birmingham U21
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2 Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 9 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:17 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Hornchurch | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Braintree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:13 | 4 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Everton U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Tamworth | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Sutton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Birmingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 7 | Boston United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
| 8 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
