Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutton vs Eastleigh

England England

National League VBS Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Osadebe E.
Assist: Babalola T.
17'
Sub
Khumbeni N. In: Johnson R.
Out: Khumbeni N.
22' Event
Njoku B.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Sutton and Eastleigh finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sutton
20%
Draws
50%
Eastleigh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eastleigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sutton come out ahead of Eastleigh on wins alone.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sutton have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sutton Clean Sheet 19%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Eastleigh
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.22 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Eastleigh
2:1
Mar 24, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Sutton
0:2
Nov 5, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Eastleigh
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Eastleigh
1:0
Aug 26, 2024 National League
Eastleigh vs Sutton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Osadebe E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Njoku B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghandour H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 36 / 100
Eastleigh 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Eastleigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastleigh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastleigh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 27 matches.

Sutton found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sutton has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Eastleigh
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

Eastleigh

(Away)
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Boreham Wood
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Eastleigh
31 Aug
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Aldershot
28 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Eastleigh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)