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Stadium Background

Sutton vs Eastleigh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League VBS Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Osadebe E.
Assist: Babalola T.
17'
Sub
Khumbeni N. In: Johnson R.
Out: Khumbeni N.
22' Event
Njoku B.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Sutton and Eastleigh finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sutton
15%
Draws
37%
Eastleigh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sutton come out ahead of Eastleigh on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Sutton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sutton have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 18%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Eastleigh
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Eastleigh
2:1
Mar 24, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Sutton
0:2
Nov 5, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Eastleigh
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Eastleigh
1:0
Aug 26, 2024 National League
Eastleigh vs Sutton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Osadebe E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Njoku B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghandour H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 49 / 100
Eastleigh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Eastleigh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastleigh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Sutton found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sutton has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Eastleigh
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
07 Nov
Guiseley
1 : 0
Sutton
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0
Southampton U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3
Sutton
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

Eastleigh

(Away)
07 Nov
Eastleigh
1 : 2
Shrewsbury
31 Oct
Barrow
1 : 1
Eastleigh
28 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 0
Eastleigh
24 Oct
Eastleigh
4 : 2
Boston United
17 Oct
Eastleigh
3 : 2
Brentwood
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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