Sport Picks
Sutton vs Forest Green
England
National League VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
10'
10'
Clarke J.
17'
17'
Knight J.
18'
18'
Sass F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Forest Green lately — more wins on the board than Sutton.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sutton Clean Sheet 14%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Forest Green |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Forest Green
3:3
Jan 17, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Forest Green
1:1
Aug 20, 2025 National League
Forest Green vs Sutton
4:0
Mar 11, 2025 National League
Forest Green vs Sutton
2:1
Aug 31, 2024 National League
Sutton vs Forest Green
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutton Compare
Top Goalscorer Njoku B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carter C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Forest Green Compare
Top Goalscorer Clarke J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ewing O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 35 / 100
Forest Green 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Forest Green
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forest Green Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Sutton scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Forest Green let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Sutton remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Forest Green
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3 Forest Green
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1 Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2 Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3 Forest Green
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2 Birmingham U21
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2 Wealdstone
Page 1 of 4
Forest Green
(Away) 29 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 1 Wealdstone
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3 Forest Green
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3 Boston United
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0 Gateshead
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3 Forest Green
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1 Forest Green
28 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 0 Forest Green
15 Aug
Worthing FC
1 : 2 Forest Green
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 32:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
