Sport Picks
Sutton vs Hartlepool
England
National League VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
20'
20'
Babalola T.
Assist: Urpens D.
27'
27'
Osadebe E.
Assist: Urpens D.
34'
34'
McKeown C.
Assist: John C.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Sutton and Hartlepool finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hartlepool come out ahead of Sutton on wins alone.
- Model gives Sutton a 53% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Hartlepool
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Sutton
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Hartlepool
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Hartlepool
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Sutton
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutton Compare
Top Goalscorer Babalola T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Osadebe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Hartlepool Compare
Top Goalscorer McKeown C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 85 / 100
Hartlepool 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Hartlepool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sutton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutton's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Sutton has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Hartlepool has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Hartlepool
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
18 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Leicester U21
15 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Altrincham
08 Aug
Woking
0 : 3 Sutton
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
18 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Leicester U21
15 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Altrincham
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2 Southampton U21
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1 Folkestone
Page 1 of 4
Hartlepool
(Away) 22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
15 Aug
Aldershot
0 : 1 Hartlepool
11 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 10 Middlesbrough U21
08 Aug
Hartlepool
2 : 0 Barrow
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
15 Aug
Aldershot
0 : 1 Hartlepool
21 Jul
Hebburn Town
2 : 3 Hartlepool
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2 Hartlepool
14 Jul
Redcar Athletic
2 : 4 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Sutton | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Harrogate | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Boreham Wood | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 6 | Boston United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Hornchurch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 8 | Eastleigh | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Worthing FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 10 | Forest Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 11 | Yeovil | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 5 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 4 |
| 13 | AFC Fylde | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 15 | Kidderminster | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 16 | Halifax | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Gateshead | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 18 | Woking | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 19 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 20 | Barrow | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 21 | Wealdstone | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 23 | Altrincham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:10 | 0 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
