Sport Picks
Sutton vs Hartlepool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
20'
20'
Babalola T.
Assist: Urpens D.
27'
27'
Osadebe E.
Assist: Urpens D.
34'
34'
McKeown C.
Assist: John C.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Sutton and Hartlepool finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sutton come out ahead of Hartlepool on wins alone.
- Model gives Sutton a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sutton Clean Sheet 16%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 8 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Hartlepool
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Sutton
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Hartlepool
3:3
Feb 8, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Hartlepool
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Sutton
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutton Compare
Top Goalscorer Babalola T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Osadebe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Hartlepool Compare
Top Goalscorer McKeown C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 84 / 100
Hartlepool 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Hartlepool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sutton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutton's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Hartlepool has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Sutton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Hartlepool
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0 Southampton U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3 Sutton
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0 Aldershot
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Sutton
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0 Truro
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0 Southampton U21
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0 Aldershot
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0 Truro
13 Oct
Sutton
3 : 2 West Brom U21
09 Oct
Sutton
0 : 2 Boreham Wood
Page 1 of 4
Hartlepool
(Away) 03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1 Leeds U21
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3 Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2 Marine
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3 Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
10 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 4 Hartlepool
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1 Hartlepool
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
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