Sport Picks
Sutton vs Leicester U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Cup VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
45'
45'
Bell C.
46'
46'
Sub
Folarin S. In: Ogbonna D.
Out: Folarin S.
56'
56'
Donnelly R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sutton have won more games recently than Leicester U21.
- Model gives Sutton a 59% chance of winning this.
- Sutton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sutton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 17%
Leicester U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Leicester U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Sutton vs Leicester U21
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 57 / 100
Leicester U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Leicester U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sutton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Leicester U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Sutton found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Recent resilience: Sutton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Leicester U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Leicester U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 07 Nov
Guiseley
1 : 0 Sutton
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0 Southampton U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3 Sutton
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0 Aldershot
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Sutton
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0 Southampton U21
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0 Aldershot
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0 Truro
13 Oct
Sutton
3 : 2 West Brom U21
09 Oct
Sutton
0 : 2 Boreham Wood
Page 1 of 4
Leicester U21
(Away) 06 Nov
Nottingham U21
2 : 2 Leicester U21
03 Nov
Boston United
1 : 0 Leicester U21
30 Oct
Leicester U21
1 : 2 Sporting CP B
24 Oct
Leicester U21
4 : 1 Arsenal U21
18 Oct
Tottenham U21
2 : 0 Leicester U21
Page 1 of 6
06 Nov
Nottingham U21
2 : 2 Leicester U21
03 Nov
Boston United
1 : 0 Leicester U21
18 Oct
Tottenham U21
2 : 0 Leicester U21
13 Oct
Woking
3 : 2 Leicester U21
09 Oct
Cardiff U21
1 : 3 Leicester U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:8 | 9 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 8 |
| 4 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:17 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ipswich U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Hornchurch | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 4 | Braintree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 5 | Norwich U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:13 | 4 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Everton U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Tamworth | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Sutton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Birmingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 7 | Boston United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 3 |
| 8 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
