Sport Picks
Sutton vs Leicester U21
England
National League Cup VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
45'
45'
Bell C.
46'
46'
Sub
Folarin S. In: Ogbonna D.
Out: Folarin S.
56'
56'
Donnelly R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Sutton have won more games recently than Leicester U21.
- Model gives Sutton a 61% chance of winning this.
- Sutton have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sutton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%
Leicester U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Leicester U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Sutton vs Leicester U21
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 67 / 100
Leicester U21 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Leicester U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sutton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Leicester U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Sutton remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Sutton's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Leicester U21's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Leicester U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.2
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 40%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 18 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Leicester U21
15 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Altrincham
08 Aug
Woking
0 : 3 Sutton
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2 Southampton U21
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1 Folkestone
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Leicester U21
15 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Altrincham
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2 Southampton U21
28 Jul
Sutton
2 : 1 Folkestone
25 Jul
Sutton
2 : 0 Horsham FC
Page 1 of 4
Leicester U21
(Away) 18 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Leicester U21
14 Aug
Leicester U21
3 : 1 Plymouth U21
24 Apr
Tottenham U21
1 : 0 Leicester U21
13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3 Leicester U21
20 Mar
Leicester U21
2 : 3 Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 6
18 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Leicester U21
24 Apr
Tottenham U21
1 : 0 Leicester U21
13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3 Leicester U21
13 Mar
Arsenal U21
1 : 5 Leicester U21
13 Feb
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Leicester U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norwich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Ipswich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Braintree | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Hornchurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 6 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Truro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sutton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 5 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Leicester U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Boston United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
