Sport Picks
Sutton vs Scunthorpe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
39'
39'
Hurst K.
Assist: Horton B.
44'
44'
Whitehall D.
59'
59'
Sub
Babalola T. In: Ogbonna D.
Out: Babalola T.
AI Match Summary
Scunthorpe in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scunthorpe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sutton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Sutton have won more games recently than Scunthorpe.
- Win probability leans Sutton's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 17%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Scunthorpe
0:2
Mar 10, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Sutton
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Scunthorpe
2:3
Feb 26, 2022 League Two
Sutton vs Scunthorpe
4:1
Aug 21, 2021 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Sutton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutton Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Scunthorpe Compare
Top Goalscorer Hurst K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sellars-Fleming T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 84 / 100
Scunthorpe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Scunthorpe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sutton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutton's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Scunthorpe let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Sutton has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Scunthorpe
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0 Southampton U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3 Sutton
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0 Aldershot
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1 Sutton
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0 Truro
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0 Southampton U21
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0 Aldershot
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0 Truro
13 Oct
Sutton
3 : 2 West Brom U21
09 Oct
Sutton
0 : 2 Boreham Wood
Page 1 of 4
Scunthorpe
(Away) 03 Nov
Scunthorpe
2 : 3 Wolves U21
31 Oct
Boston United
2 : 1 Scunthorpe
27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1 Scunthorpe
24 Oct
Scunthorpe
2 : 3 Woking
17 Oct
Boston United
1 : 3 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Boston United
2 : 1 Scunthorpe
27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1 Scunthorpe
17 Oct
Boston United
1 : 3 Scunthorpe
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
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Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
