Sport Picks
Sutton vs Scunthorpe
England
National League VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
39'
39'
Hurst K.
Assist: Horton B.
44'
44'
Whitehall D.
59'
59'
Sub
Babalola T. In: Ogbonna D.
Out: Babalola T.
AI Match Summary
Scunthorpe in this National League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scunthorpe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scunthorpe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Scunthorpe have won more games recently than Sutton.
- Win probability leans Scunthorpe's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sutton Clean Sheet 16%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Scunthorpe
0:2
Mar 10, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Sutton
1:2
Aug 23, 2025 National League
Sutton vs Scunthorpe
2:3
Feb 26, 2022 League Two
Sutton vs Scunthorpe
4:1
Aug 21, 2021 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Sutton
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutton Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Scunthorpe Compare
Top Goalscorer Hurst K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sellars-Fleming T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 23 / 100
Scunthorpe 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Scunthorpe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Scunthorpe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Sutton scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Scunthorpe has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Sutton has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Scunthorpe
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2 Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Sutton
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2 Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1 Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2 Birmingham U21
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2 Wealdstone
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 4
Scunthorpe
(Away) 12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1 Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
28 Aug
Scunthorpe
3 : 1 Solihull Moors
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
22 Aug
Eastleigh
3 : 2 Scunthorpe
15 Aug
Southend
1 : 0 Scunthorpe
28 Jul
North Ferriby FC
3 : 6 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 20 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Southend | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:12 | 16 |
| 6 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 7 | Aldershot | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 8 | Sutton | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 15 |
| 9 | Forest Green | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Halifax | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 11 | Hornchurch | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Altrincham | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Worthing FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Eastleigh | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 15 | Carlisle | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Hartlepool | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Woking | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Boston United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 20 | Scunthorpe | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 21 | Barrow | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | 5 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
