Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suwalki vs Bron Radom

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Guzewski B.
55' Event
Dziubinski A.
86' Event
Zagorski D.

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Suwalki
20%
Draws
42%
Bron Radom
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bron Radom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Suwalki have won more games recently than Bron Radom.
  • Bron Radom are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 17%
Bron Radom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki Bron Radom
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.76 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Bron Radom
2:1
Sep 5, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Suwalki
2:0
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Bron Radom
2:1
Nov 15, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Suwalki
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzewski B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zagorski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bron Radom Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziubinski A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 10 / 100
Bron Radom 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki Bron Radom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bron Radom Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suwalki found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Bron Radom has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Suwalki remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS Bron Radom
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwalki

(Home)
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5
Termalica Bruk-Bet
29 Aug
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 3
Suwalki
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0
Swit Mazowiecki
19 Aug
Zabkovia Zabki
1 : 1
Suwalki
14 Aug
Suwalki
1 : 0
Troszyn
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Bron Radom

(Away)
18 Jul
Bron Radom
5 : 0
Arka Pawlow
15 Jul
Bron Radom
2 : 3
Ceramika Opoczno
11 Jul
Bron Radom
4 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
30 May
Bron Radom
0 : 1
Warta Sieradz
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)