Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach

Suwalki

2 - 1

Bron Radom

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Guzewski B.

55'

Dziubinski A.

86'

Zagorski D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Suwalki

33%

Draws

27%

Bron Radom

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Suwalki have won more games recently than Bron Radom.
Suwalki are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Suwalki Clean Sheet 20%

Bron Radom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Suwalki	Bron Radom
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	17	6
Draws	4	5
Losses	8	17
Goals Scored	2	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Suwalki vs Bron Radom

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Sep 5, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Bron Radom vs Suwalki

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Suwalki vs Bron Radom

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Nov 15, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Bron Radom vs Suwalki

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzewski B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zagorski D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Bron Radom Compare

Top Goalscorer Dziubinski A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 40 / 100

Bron Radom 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Suwalki Bron Radom

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suwalki found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Bron Radom has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Suwalki remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS Bron Radom

2 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15