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Suwalki vs KTS Weszlo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suwalki host KTS Weszlo in the III Liga - Group I. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. KTS Weszlo have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Suwalki have conceded 1.16 and scored 1.77. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.44 - 1.75) back KTS Weszlo to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Suwalki
20%
Draws
35%
KTS Weszlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Suwalki carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Suwalki's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 12%
KTS Weszlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki KTS Weszlo
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 17 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 1.77 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 83 / 100
KTS Weszlo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki KTS Weszlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwalki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suwalki scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Suwalki remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: KTS Weszlo conceded in 59% of 17 recent games.

Away concern: KTS Weszlo has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS KTS Weszlo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwalki

(Home)
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
Page 1 of 7

KTS Weszlo

(Away)
03 Oct
KTS Weszlo
1 : 3
Olimpia Zambrow
26 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1
KTS Weszlo
19 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
05 Sept
KTS Weszlo
2 : 0
Zabkovia Zabki
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)