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Suwalki vs LKS Lomza

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Matus E.

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Suwalki
39%
Draws
31%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Suwalki lately — more wins on the board than LKS Lomza.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 16%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki LKS Lomza
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs LKS Lomza
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Suwalki
1:1
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs LKS Lomza
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
LKS Lomza vs Suwalki
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Suwalki
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Matus E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

LKS Lomza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 30 / 100
LKS Lomza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki LKS Lomza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suwalki scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: LKS Lomza conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Suwalki remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS LKS Lomza
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315