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Suwalki vs LKS Lomza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suwalki host LKS Lomza in the III Liga - Group I. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Suwalki at 2.17 goals for, 1.03 against; LKS Lomza at 1.52 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor LKS Lomza slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.44 xG vs 1.31) point toward Suwalki. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Suwalki
15%
Draws
5%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suwalki come out ahead of LKS Lomza on wins alone.
  • Suwalki are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 18%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki LKS Lomza
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 19 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs LKS Lomza
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Suwalki
1:1
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs LKS Lomza
0:3
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
LKS Lomza vs Suwalki
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Suwalki
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 85 / 100
LKS Lomza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki LKS Lomza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwalki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suwalki scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Suwalki has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

LKS Lomza has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS LKS Lomza
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwalki

(Home)
24 Oct
Suwalki
4 : 1
KTS Weszlo
17 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 4
Suwalki
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
Page 1 of 6

LKS Lomza

(Away)
25 Oct
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 2
LKS Lomza
17 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
10 Oct
Lidzbark Warmimski
3 : 2
LKS Lomza
03 Oct
LKS Lomza
0 : 2
Olimpia Elblag
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 14 10 2 2 30:16 32
2 Suwalki 14 9 4 1 30:13 31
3 Swit Mazowiecki 14 8 2 4 28:20 26
4 Pelikan 14 7 3 4 24:20 24
5 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 14 7 3 4 33:26 24
6 Zabkovia Zabki 14 6 4 4 27:23 22
7 Warta Sieradz 14 6 4 4 24:22 22
8 Plock II 14 6 4 4 27:23 22
9 Olimpia Zambrow 14 6 3 5 29:28 21
10 Olimpia Elblag 14 5 3 6 19:22 18
11 Jagiellonia II 14 4 5 5 25:26 17
12 Widzew Lodz II 14 4 4 6 24:24 16
13 Lidzbark Warmimski 14 4 3 7 24:27 15
14 LKS Lodz II 14 4 3 7 24:28 15
15 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 14 4 2 8 23:30 14
16 MKS Mlawa 14 4 2 8 27:37 14
17 Troszyn 14 2 5 7 15:30 11
18 LKS Lomza 14 0 4 10 14:32 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)