Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
Magnuszewski K.
68'
68'
Bajdur M.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I game between Suwalki and Plock II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwalki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suwalki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Suwalki come out ahead of Plock II on wins alone.
- Suwalki are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%
Plock II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Suwalki | Plock II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 17 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Plock II
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Suwalki
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Plock II
3:2
Apr 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Plock II vs Suwalki
2:1
Sep 29, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Plock II
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Suwalki Compare
Top Goalscorer Bajdur M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Plock II Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Suwalki 47 / 100
Plock II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Suwalki Plock II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Suwalki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Suwalki scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Plock II conceded in 94% of 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Suwalki went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Suwalki VS Plock II
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Suwalki
(Home) 09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3 Suwalki
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2 Suwalki
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3 Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1 Suwalki
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3 Widzew Lodz II
06 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 3 Lidzbark Warmimski
01 Sept
Suwalki
1 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
23 Aug
Suwalki
0 : 0 Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 3
Plock II
(Away) 10 Oct
Plock II
2 : 1 Troszyn
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
12 Sept
Plock II
2 : 2 LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0 Plock II
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2 Plock II
06 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
0 : 2 Plock II
23 Aug
Olimpia Zambrow
4 : 3 Plock II
15 Aug
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 1 Plock II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KTS Weszlo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Suwalki | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 25 |
| 3 | Pelikan | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 28:22 | 21 |
| 5 | Plock II | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 24:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Swit Mazowiecki | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Zabkovia Zabki | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 21:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:22 | 16 |
| 9 | Olimpia Elblag | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 10 | Warta Sieradz | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19:19 | 15 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz II | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 12 | LKS Lodz II | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 15 | Lidzbark Warmimski | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | MKS Mlawa | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 23:34 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:26 | 7 |
| 18 | LKS Lomza | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
