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Suwalki vs Troszyn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach, Suwałki
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Match Events

18' Event
Michalowski F.
90'
Orpik J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I game between Suwalki and Troszyn finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Suwalki
15%
Draws
31%
Troszyn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Suwalki come out ahead of Troszyn on wins alone.
  • Model gives Suwalki a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Suwalki have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 20%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki Troszyn
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Troszyn
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Suwalki
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Troszyn
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Michalowski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Troszyn Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 76 / 100
Troszyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki Troszyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwalki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suwalki scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Troszyn conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Suwalki stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS Troszyn
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwalki

(Home)
31 Oct
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
2 : 0
Suwalki
24 Oct
Suwalki
4 : 1
KTS Weszlo
17 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 4
Suwalki
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
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Troszyn

(Away)
31 Oct
Troszyn
2 : 0
Olimpia Elblag
24 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
3 : 0
Troszyn
18 Oct
Troszyn
1 : 1
Zabkovia Zabki
14 Oct
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
10 Oct
Plock II
2 : 1
Troszyn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 15 10 2 3 30:17 32
2 Suwalki 15 9 4 2 30:15 31
3 Warta Sieradz 16 8 4 4 28:22 28
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 15 8 3 4 36:28 27
5 Swit Mazowiecki 15 8 2 5 28:22 26
6 Zabkovia Zabki 15 7 4 4 29:23 25
7 Plock II 15 7 4 4 29:24 25
8 Pelikan 15 7 3 5 25:22 24
9 Olimpia Zambrow 15 6 3 6 31:31 21
10 Jagiellonia II 15 5 5 5 27:27 20
11 Widzew Lodz II 15 5 4 6 28:25 19
12 LKS Lodz II 15 5 3 7 27:30 18
13 Olimpia Elblag 15 5 3 7 19:24 18
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 16 5 2 9 25:33 17
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 15 4 3 8 25:29 15
16 MKS Mlawa 15 4 2 9 28:41 14
17 Troszyn 15 3 5 7 17:30 14
18 LKS Lomza 15 0 4 11 16:35 4
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)