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Suwon FC vs Busan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Suwon Sports Complex, Suwon
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kim Hee-Seung
Assist: Son Hwi
23' Event
Derlan
Assist: Goo Bon-Cheul
27'
Sub
Kim Do-Yoon In: Jung Seung-Bae
Out: Kim Do-Yoon

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Suwon FC and Busan finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwon FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Suwon FC
30%
Draws
19%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suwon FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Busan haven't matched Suwon FC's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Suwon FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Suwon FC Clean Sheet 20%
Busan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwon FC Busan
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.97 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 K League 2
Suwon FC vs Busan
2:1
Apr 18, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon FC
2:1
Dec 9, 2023 K League 1
Suwon FC vs Busan
5:2
Dec 6, 2023 K League 1
Busan vs Suwon FC
2:1
Jul 15, 2020 Korean Cup
Suwon FC vs Busan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwon FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Derlan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hee-Seung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwon FC 76 / 100
Busan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwon FC Busan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwon FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suwon FC scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Suwon FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Busan has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Suwon FC VS Busan
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwon FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Suwon FC
1 : 0
Hwaseong
19 Sept
Jeonnam
0 : 3
Suwon FC
13 Sept
Suwon FC
1 : 1
Cheonan City
05 Sept
Yongin FC
1 : 1
Suwon FC
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
Page 1 of 6

Busan

(Away)
10 Oct
Paju Frontier
1 : 1
Busan
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 26 14 9 3 51:29 51
3 Seoul E-Land 27 15 6 6 46:30 51
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 27 12 8 7 41:28 44
6 Busan 27 12 6 9 42:35 42
7 Chungnam Asan 26 9 8 9 35:32 35
8 Gimpo FC 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
9 Gyeongnam 26 8 10 8 31:31 34
10 Cheongju 27 6 14 7 34:42 32
11 Seongnam 26 7 10 9 29:33 31
12 Paju Frontier 26 8 6 12 25:29 30
13 Yongin FC 26 5 12 9 32:37 27
14 Cheonan City 27 5 11 11 31:37 26
15 Jeonnam 26 5 9 12 30:44 24
16 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
17 Gimhae 26 2 8 16 20:50 14
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)