Sport Picks

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Suwon FC vs Gwangju FC

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 2025 Suwon Sports Complex, Suwon
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ahn Hyeok-Ju In: Reis
Out: Ahn Hyeok-Ju
50' Event
Reis
Assist: Park In-Hyeok
54'
Sub
Kim K. In: Andrigo
Out: Kim K.

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 2025 game between Suwon FC and Gwangju FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gwangju FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Suwon FC
6%
Draws
4%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Suwon FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Suwon FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Suwon FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular K League 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Suwon FC Clean Sheet 20%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwon FC Gwangju FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 K League 1
Suwon FC vs Gwangju FC
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 K League 1
Suwon FC vs Gwangju FC
2:4
Jul 18, 2025 K League 1
Suwon FC vs Gwangju FC
2:1
May 14, 2025 Korean Cup
Suwon FC vs Gwangju FC
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Suwon FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwon FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Gwangju FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Reis
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwon FC 85 / 100
Gwangju FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwon FC Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suwon FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Suwon FC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gwangju FC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Suwon FC VS Gwangju FC
2.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwon FC

(Home)
25 Jul
Daegu
1 : 2
Suwon FC
18 Jul
Suwon FC
2 : 2
Seoul E-Land
15 Jul
Suwon FC
3 : 2
Pyeongchang United
10 Jul
Suwon FC
5 : 0
Jeonnam
04 Jul
Ansan Greeners
1 : 3
Suwon FC
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Gwangju FC

(Away)
22 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
19 Jul
Anyang
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
11 Jul
Gwangju FC
0 : 3
Pohang
05 Jul
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Ulsan Hyundai
16 May
Incheon
4 : 0
Gwangju FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gwangju FC381591440:4154
2Anyang381471749:4749
3Ulsan Hyundai3811111642:5044
4Suwon FC381191851:5842
5Jeju SK381091940:5339
6Daegu387131847:6734
Relegation - K League 1 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - K League 2 (Main)