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Suwon FC vs Hwaseong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Suwon Sports Complex, Suwon
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Ilyuchenko S.
16'
46'
Sub
Choi Gi-Yun In: Park Cheol-Woo
Out: Choi Gi-Yun

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Suwon FC and Hwaseong finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suwon FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Suwon FC
35%
Draws
27%
Hwaseong
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Suwon FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Hwaseong haven't matched Suwon FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Suwon FC a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Suwon FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Suwon FC Clean Sheet 17%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwon FC Hwaseong
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 K League 2
Suwon FC vs Hwaseong
1:0
May 9, 2026 K League 2
Hwaseong vs Suwon FC
1:1
Apr 9, 2014 Korean Cup
Suwon FC vs Hwaseong
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwon FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung Seung-Bae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Hwaseong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwon FC 57 / 100
Hwaseong 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwon FC Hwaseong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwon FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suwon FC found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Suwon FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hwaseong has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Suwon FC VS Hwaseong
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwon FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Jeonnam
0 : 3
Suwon FC
13 Sept
Suwon FC
1 : 1
Cheonan City
05 Sept
Yongin FC
1 : 1
Suwon FC
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 0
Gimhae
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Hwaseong

(Away)
20 Sept
Seongnam
2 : 2
Hwaseong
12 Sept
Ansan Greeners
0 : 2
Hwaseong
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
29 Aug
Hwaseong
2 : 1
Cheongju
23 Aug
Jeonnam
1 : 0
Hwaseong
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 26 14 9 3 51:29 51
3 Seoul E-Land 27 15 6 6 46:30 51
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 27 12 8 7 41:28 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Cheongju 27 6 14 7 34:42 32
11 Seongnam 26 7 10 9 29:33 31
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)