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SV Donau vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Regionalliga East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga East game between SV Donau and FC Marchfeld Donauauen finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Marchfeld Donauauen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
SV Donau
35%
Draws
41%
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Marchfeld Donauauen come out ahead of SV Donau on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
SV Donau Clean Sheet 10%
FC Marchfeld Donauauen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Donau FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 18
Draws 10 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.83 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Regionalliga East
SV Donau vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen
1:4
Mar 13, 2026 Regionalliga East
SV Donau vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen
3:3
Aug 22, 2025 Regionalliga East
FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Donau
1:1
Feb 9, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Donau
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Donau 30 / 100
FC Marchfeld Donauauen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Donau FC Marchfeld Donauauen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Marchfeld Donauauen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Donau found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 4.75 goals when they meet.

FC Marchfeld Donauauen let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

SV Donau has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SV Donau VS FC Marchfeld Donauauen
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Donau

(Home)
10 Oct
SV Donau
2 : 2
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
03 Oct
Wiener Viktoria
0 : 0
SV Donau
26 Sept
SV Donau
2 : 3
Wiener
18 Sept
Mattersburg SV 2020
2 : 2
SV Donau
11 Sept
SV Donau
4 : 0
Favoritner
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FC Marchfeld Donauauen

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
4 : 0
Mattersburg SV 2020
02 Oct
Favoritner
1 : 1
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
25 Sept
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
0 : 1
SV Oberwart
18 Sept
Traiskirchen
1 : 3
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
11 Sept
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
3 : 1
Horn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Marchfeld Donauauen 11 8 1 2 30:10 25
2 SV Oberwart 11 7 1 3 22:14 22
3 Wiener 11 6 2 3 25:12 20
4 USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 11 5 4 2 19:19 19
5 Traiskirchen 11 5 3 3 24:21 18
6 Kremser 11 5 2 4 18:15 17
7 Wiener Viktoria 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
8 Donaufeld Wien 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
9 Parndorf 11 4 3 4 16:15 15
10 Mattersburg SV 2020 11 4 1 6 12:17 13
11 Favoritner 11 4 1 6 8:13 13
12 SV Donau 11 2 6 3 17:20 12
13 Gloggnitz 11 3 3 5 12:19 12
14 Horn 11 3 2 6 14:16 11
15 Leobendorf 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
16 Wienerberger 11 0 1 10 6:36 1
Promotion - Regionalliga Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)