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SV Erlbach vs Pipinsried - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd game between SV Erlbach and Pipinsried finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
SV Erlbach
30%
Draws
33%
Pipinsried
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Pipinsried carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 18%
Pipinsried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Erlbach Pipinsried
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.41 2.24
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Pipinsried
1:1
May 16, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Pipinsried vs SV Erlbach
0:2
Oct 31, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Pipinsried
1:3
May 9, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Pipinsried
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Pipinsried vs SV Erlbach
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 32 / 100
Pipinsried 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Erlbach Pipinsried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: SV Erlbach stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

SV Erlbach's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pipinsried's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SV Erlbach VS Pipinsried
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Erlbach

(Home)
09 Oct
SV Erlbach
3 : 1
Geretsried
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
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Pipinsried

(Away)
09 Oct
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
0 : 3
Pipinsried
03 Oct
Pipinsried
2 : 1
Ismaning
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
19 Sept
Pipinsried
5 : 2
Kirchanschoring
12 Sept
Gundelfingen
3 : 1
Pipinsried
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 14 10 2 2 40:17 32
2 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 14 9 1 4 33:23 28
3 SV Erlbach 14 7 5 2 18:7 26
4 Landshut 14 7 4 3 27:16 25
5 Hankofen-Hailing 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
6 FC Schwaig 14 5 8 1 27:16 23
7 Pfaffenhofen 14 6 5 3 25:24 23
8 Ismaning 14 6 2 6 29:21 20
9 Munich 1860 II 14 4 5 5 28:27 17
10 Gundelfingen 14 4 5 5 21:22 17
11 Heimstetten 14 4 5 5 25:27 17
12 TSV Schwabmunchen 14 4 4 6 27:28 16
13 Kottern-St. Mang 14 4 4 6 12:18 16
14 Deisenhofen 14 3 4 7 19:31 13
15 Kirchanschoring 14 3 3 8 18:31 12
16 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 14 2 5 7 17:27 11
17 Geretsried 14 3 2 9 14:30 11
18 Schalding 14 2 4 8 18:42 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)