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SV Erlbach vs Rain/Lech Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Steer T.
72' Event
Fischer A.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 game between SV Erlbach and Rain/Lech finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Erlbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SV Erlbach
20%
Draws
34%
Rain/Lech
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rain/Lech haven't matched SV Erlbach's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on SV Erlbach taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SV Erlbach have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 20%
Rain/Lech Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Erlbach Rain/Lech
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Rain/Lech
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs SV Erlbach
0:1
May 18, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Rain/Lech
2:1
Oct 21, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Rain/Lech vs SV Erlbach
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SV Erlbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Steer T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fischer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Rain/Lech Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 85 / 100
Rain/Lech 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Erlbach Rain/Lech

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rain/Lech conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: SV Erlbach scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: SV Erlbach remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SV Erlbach VS Rain/Lech
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Erlbach

(Home)
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0
SV Erlbach
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Rain/Lech

(Away)
17 May
Rain/Lech
2 : 5
Munich 1860 II
10 May
Ismaning
4 : 5
Rain/Lech
03 May
Rain/Lech
5 : 4
Heimstetten
29 Apr
Rain/Lech
0 : 3
TSV Grunwald
25 Apr
TSV Grunwald
3 : 1
Rain/Lech
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Memmingen 32 17 12 3 49:21 63
2 Munich 1860 II 32 18 8 6 64:30 62
3 SV Erlbach 32 16 10 6 33:21 58
4 Pipinsried 32 18 4 10 63:39 58
5 Deisenhofen 32 17 5 10 56:45 56
6 Kottern-St. Mang 32 16 6 10 57:50 54
7 Kirchanschoring 32 15 7 10 57:46 52
8 Landsberg 32 14 2 16 64:41 44
9 Schalding 32 12 8 12 41:47 44
10 Heimstetten 32 12 5 15 78:70 41
11 Nordlingen 32 12 5 15 53:56 41
12 Turkspor Augsburg 32 10 7 15 37:59 37
13 Ismaning 32 9 8 15 35:51 35
14 TSV Grunwald 32 9 6 17 54:78 33
15 Sonthofen 32 9 5 18 39:60 32
16 Unterhaching II 32 8 7 17 32:61 31
17 Rain/Lech 32 5 5 22 39:76 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)