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Stadium Background

SV Erlbach vs Schalding - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Erlbach in this Oberliga Bayern Süd matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SV Erlbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
SV Erlbach
20%
Draws
17%
Schalding
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • SV Erlbach have won more games recently than Schalding.
  • SV Erlbach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SV Erlbach have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 20%
Schalding Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Erlbach Schalding
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Schalding
2:1
May 8, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Schalding
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Schalding vs SV Erlbach
0:2
Apr 11, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Schalding
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Schalding vs SV Erlbach
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 85 / 100
Schalding 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Erlbach Schalding

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Schalding conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

SV Erlbach went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SV Erlbach scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

SV Erlbach VS Schalding
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Erlbach

(Home)
23 Oct
SV Erlbach
2 : 1
Schalding
17 Oct
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 3
SV Erlbach
09 Oct
SV Erlbach
3 : 1
Geretsried
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
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Schalding

(Away)
23 Oct
SV Erlbach
2 : 1
Schalding
17 Oct
Schalding
0 : 2
Kirchanschoring
10 Oct
Gundelfingen
4 : 0
Schalding
03 Oct
Schalding
3 : 4
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
26 Sept
Deisenhofen
0 : 2
Schalding
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 16 10 3 3 42:21 33
2 SV Erlbach 16 9 5 2 23:10 32
3 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 16 10 1 5 36:25 31
4 Pfaffenhofen 16 8 5 3 29:25 29
5 Landshut 16 8 4 4 30:19 28
6 Hankofen-Hailing 16 8 4 4 27:19 28
7 FC Schwaig 16 6 9 1 35:19 27
8 Ismaning 16 7 2 7 32:24 23
9 Munich 1860 II 16 5 6 5 33:30 21
10 TSV Schwabmunchen 16 5 4 7 31:32 19
11 Heimstetten 16 4 7 5 27:29 19
12 Kottern-St. Mang 16 4 6 6 15:21 18
13 Gundelfingen 16 4 5 7 22:25 17
14 Deisenhofen 16 4 4 8 21:37 16
15 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 16 3 6 7 20:29 15
16 Kirchanschoring 16 4 3 9 20:33 15
17 Geretsried 16 3 2 11 16:34 11
18 Schalding 16 2 4 10 19:46 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)