Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026

Turkspor Augsburg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SV Erlbach play Turkspor Augsburg in the Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026. SV Erlbach are favorites here. Recently, SV Erlbach averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. Turkspor Augsburg averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, SV Erlbach won 3, Turkspor Augsburg won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 22, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for SV Erlbach and 1.06 for Turkspor Augsburg. This points to a SV Erlbach double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

SV Erlbach

17%

Draws

19%

Turkspor Augsburg

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

SV Erlbach picked up more points recently compared to Turkspor Augsburg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 22%

Turkspor Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SV Erlbach	Turkspor Augsburg
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	4
Draws	5	5
Losses	11	21
Goals Scored	1.37	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.27	2.67
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd

SV Erlbach vs Turkspor Augsburg

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

4:0

Aug 2, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd

Turkspor Augsburg vs SV Erlbach

Possession: 49% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

0:3

May 4, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd

Turkspor Augsburg vs SV Erlbach

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd

SV Erlbach vs Turkspor Augsburg

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 4 - 4

0:2

Apr 7, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd

SV Erlbach vs Turkspor Augsburg

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 62 / 100

Turkspor Augsburg 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SV Erlbach Turkspor Augsburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (1)

Secondary Pick SV Erlbach & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.6%

1.79

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SV Erlbach attacking → ← attacking Turkspor Augsburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Erlbach scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Turkspor Augsburg let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SV Erlbach went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Turkspor Augsburg lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 17

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Munich 1860 II	32	21	5	6	74:26	68
2	Landsberg	32	18	11	3	79:43	65
3	Kirchanschoring	32	16	10	6	67:35	58
4	Gundelfingen	32	16	7	9	51:33	55
5	SV Erlbach	32	16	5	11	42:35	53
6	Pipinsried	32	15	7	10	58:37	52
7	Heimstetten	32	14	9	9	64:46	51
8	Deisenhofen	32	13	10	9	44:47	49
9	FC Schwaig	32	12	9	11	48:44	45
10	Geretsried	32	12	8	12	49:46	44
11	Nordlingen	32	11	11	10	58:58	44
12	Ismaning	32	11	9	12	50:58	42
13	Schalding	32	9	11	12	43:50	38
14	Kottern-St. Mang	32	9	6	17	40:57	33
15	FC Sturm Hauzenberg	32	6	5	21	24:64	23
16	Turkspor Augsburg	32	4	5	23	28:83	17
17	Turkgucu Munchen	32	3	4	25	21:78	13