Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SV Poortugaal vs VV Zwaluwen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Poortugaal in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SV Poortugaal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SV Poortugaal
15%
Draws
51%
VV Zwaluwen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Zwaluwen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VV Zwaluwen lately — more wins on the board than SV Poortugaal.
  • Win probability leans SV Poortugaal's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SV Poortugaal Clean Sheet 10%
VV Zwaluwen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Poortugaal VV Zwaluwen
Matches Played 14 29
Wins 4 15
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
SV Poortugaal vs VV Zwaluwen
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Poortugaal 56 / 100
VV Zwaluwen 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Poortugaal VV Zwaluwen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Poortugaal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

SV Poortugaal scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

VV Zwaluwen has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: SV Poortugaal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SV Poortugaal VS VV Zwaluwen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Poortugaal

(Home)
19 Sept
Rijnvogels
1 : 0
SV Poortugaal
12 Sept
SV Poortugaal
1 : 2
Gemert
05 Sept
EVV
0 : 1
SV Poortugaal
01 Sept
Achilles Veen
4 : 2
SV Poortugaal
29 Aug
SV Poortugaal
3 : 1
VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 3

VV Zwaluwen

(Away)
23 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
0 : 1
Purmersteijn
19 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
Lisse
12 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 0
VV Zwaluwen
05 Sept
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 0
RKSV UDI 19
02 Sept
Lierop
0 : 7
VV Zwaluwen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Harkemase Boys 6 5 1 0 13:7 16
3 Genemuiden 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
4 VV Scherpenzeel 6 5 0 1 11:7 15
5 Excelsior 31 6 4 1 1 16:6 13
6 Sportlust 6 3 3 0 14:9 12
7 Purmersteijn 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
8 TEC 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
9 Sparta Nijkerk 6 2 2 2 17:14 8
10 VV Hoogeveen 6 2 1 3 12:13 7
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
12 DVS '33 Ermelo 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
13 VV DOVO 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
14 Staphorst 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
15 USV Hercules 6 1 0 5 8:20 3
16 Eemdijk 6 1 0 5 7:19 3
17 HVV Hollandia 6 0 1 5 13:20 1
18 SVZW Wierden 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 6 5 1 0 12:0 16
2 Lisse 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
3 Rijnvogels 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
4 Excelsior Maassluis 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
5 RKSV UDI 19 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 GOES 6 3 2 1 13:13 11
7 SV Poortugaal 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
8 Dongen 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Blauw Geel 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Gemert 6 1 4 1 10:10 7
11 VVSB 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 VV Zwaluwen 6 2 1 3 4:9 7
13 UNA 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
14 Groene Ster 6 1 3 2 10:13 6
15 Roosendaal 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
16 Achilles Veen 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
17 TOGB 6 0 2 4 8:15 2
18 EVV 6 0 1 5 7:16 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)