Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SV Steinbach vs Fernwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Woiwod T.
(Penalty)
75' Event
Wittke L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SV Steinbach
30%
Draws
70%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fernwald lately — more wins on the board than SV Steinbach.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Fernwald taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
SV Steinbach Clean Sheet 10%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Steinbach Fernwald
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
SV Steinbach vs Fernwald
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs SV Steinbach
2:2
May 25, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs SV Steinbach
2:2
Nov 5, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
SV Steinbach vs Fernwald
2:3
Apr 6, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
SV Steinbach vs Fernwald
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SV Steinbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Wittke L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Fernwald Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Steinbach 10 / 100
Fernwald 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Steinbach Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fernwald let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: SV Steinbach scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Fernwald's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SV Steinbach VS Fernwald
0 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Steinbach

(Home)
28 Jun
Fulda-Lehnerz
3 : 0
SV Steinbach
31 May
SV Steinbach
0 : 1
VfB Marburg
25 May
SV Steinbach
0 : 4
Alzenau
17 May
Darmstadt U21
7 : 0
SV Steinbach
10 May
SV Steinbach
1 : 7
Turk Gucu Friedberg
Page 1 of 6

Fernwald

(Away)
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
28 Aug
Fernwald
3 : 3
Hanauer SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernwald 36 20 10 6 77:35 70
2 Alzenau 36 19 10 7 91:46 67
3 Turk Gucu Friedberg 36 18 11 7 83:54 65
4 RW Walldorf 36 20 6 10 77:49 65
5 Stadtallendorf 36 18 6 12 64:47 60
6 Darmstadt U21 36 18 5 13 69:38 59
7 Baunatal 36 17 7 12 67:55 57
8 Hunfelder 36 16 7 13 63:59 55
9 Eddersheim 36 14 13 9 74:65 55
10 Waldgirmes 36 14 8 14 66:71 50
11 Weidenhausen 36 12 11 13 66:63 47
12 Hanauer SC 36 14 5 17 70:71 47
13 Hanau 36 13 7 16 56:71 45
14 VfB Marburg 36 12 8 16 47:59 44
15 Unter-Flockenbach 36 10 11 15 62:89 41
16 Wolfhagen 36 10 8 18 52:66 38
17 SV Steinbach 36 8 9 19 42:83 32
18 Hornau 36 6 10 20 55:92 28
19 TSV Steinbach Haiger II 36 4 6 26 41:109 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)