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Stadium Background

SV Tasmania Berlin vs Jena

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between SV Tasmania Berlin and Jena finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
SV Tasmania Berlin
30%
Draws
54%
Jena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jena come out ahead of SV Tasmania Berlin on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Jena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jena have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
SV Tasmania Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Jena Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Tasmania Berlin Jena
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2.28 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Jena
1:5
Mar 22, 2022 Regionalliga Nordost
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Jena
0:1
Aug 28, 2021 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs SV Tasmania Berlin
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Tasmania Berlin 14 / 100
Jena 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Tasmania Berlin Jena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

SV Tasmania Berlin's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Jena let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

SV Tasmania Berlin has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SV Tasmania Berlin VS Jena
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Tasmania Berlin

(Home)
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
10 Sept
BFC Dynamo
3 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
02 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
SV Tasmania Berlin
30 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 2
Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 6

Jena

(Away)
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
28 Aug
Chemnitzer
1 : 1
Jena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 10 7 3 0 32:8 24
2 Chemnitzer 10 7 2 1 21:5 23
3 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
4 Greifswalder FC 10 5 4 1 23:15 19
5 Hallescher 10 5 4 1 15:7 19
6 BFC Dynamo 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
7 Altglienicke 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
8 Jena 10 5 1 4 14:9 16
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 10 4 3 3 20:19 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 10 4 1 5 20:22 13
12 BFC Preussen 10 2 4 4 12:14 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 10 1 3 6 13:25 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 10 1 2 7 12:31 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)